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Nurix Therapeutics, Inc. (NRIX)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 FY2024 revenue was $13.3M, up sequentially from $12.6M in Q3 but down year-over-year from $15.2M; net loss widened to $(58.5)M with EPS of $(0.75) versus $(0.67) in Q3 and $(0.77) in Q4 FY2023 .
- Clinical execution was strong: NX-5948 achieved a 75.5% ORR in r/r CLL/SLL (49 efficacy-evaluable patients), increasing to 84.2% with longer treatment, and 77.8% ORR in WM, supporting plans for pivotal trials in 2025 .
- Balance sheet strength: cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities rose to $609.6M as of Nov 30, 2024, enabling accelerated clinical development in 2025 .
- Guidance emphasized pivotal trial initiation for NX-5948 in CLL and exploration of autoimmune indications; no explicit financial guidance was provided (revenue/margins/OpEx) .
- Consensus estimates comparison is unavailable due to S&P Global data access limits; results should be evaluated vs sequential trends and clinical milestones until consensus can be retrieved.
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- NX-5948 showed robust efficacy in r/r CLL/SLL: 75.5% ORR at first assessment (Week 8), increasing to 84.2% for patients with ≥2 assessments (Week 16), with responses across high-risk molecular features and CNS involvement; “We are well capitalized to aggressively develop NX-5948…” — Arthur T. Sands, CEO .
- Positive WM data: 77.8% ORR (7/9 evaluable patients), with durable responses and two patients on treatment >1 year, highlighting potential differentiation via brain penetration .
- Strengthened capital and collaboration momentum: $609.6M cash/marketable securities; milestone receipts from Pfizer ($5.0M), Sanofi ($2.0M), and a $15M extension payment from Gilead; EMA PRIME and FDA Fast Track designations enhance regulatory trajectory .
What Went Wrong
- Operating spend rose materially: R&D expense increased to $67.2M in Q4 (from $55.5M in Q3) on clinical and manufacturing costs to accelerate enrollment; total OpEx climbed to $77.9M, widening net loss sequentially .
- Revenue mix remains collaboration-dependent; Q4 revenue declined YoY ($13.3M vs $15.2M), reflecting lower collaboration/license flows year-over-year (e.g., absence of the prior-year $20M license payment) .
- EPS and net loss deteriorated sequentially (EPS $(0.75) vs $(0.67); net loss $(58.5)M vs $(49.0)M), underscoring near-term dilution from stepped-up development activities prior to commercialization .
Financial Results
Notes: Gross/EBITDA margins not applicable for a pre-commercial biotech; revenue is primarily collaboration-derived .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Note: A Q4 FY2024 earnings call transcript was not available in the document set. Themes below reflect Q2–Q4 earnings materials and clinical press releases.
Management Commentary
- “Nurix has hit the ground running in 2025 with plans to commence a suite of clinical trials designed to support global registration of NX-5948 for the treatment of patients with CLL… We are well capitalized to aggressively develop NX-5948 in multiple indications and move our wholly owned and collaboration programs forward in the new year.” — Arthur T. Sands, M.D., Ph.D., President & CEO .
- “We are highly encouraged to see a deepening of therapeutic responses over time while maintaining a favorable safety profile… particularly… in patients with a high incidence of baseline genetic mutations… and CNS involvement.” — Paula G. O’Connor, M.D., CMO .
- “Fast Track designation for NX-5948 is an important recognition of the unmet patient need in Waldenstrom’s macroglobulinemia… We continue to enroll WM patients… and anticipate sharing additional clinical data in 2025.” — Arthur T. Sands, M.D., Ph.D., President & CEO .
Q&A Highlights
A Q4 FY2024 earnings call transcript was not available; no Q&A themes or management clarifications could be extracted from a transcript. Narrative insights are based on press release disclosures .
Estimates Context
- Wall Street consensus for Q4 FY2024 EPS and revenue could not be retrieved due to S&P Global access limits at the time of analysis; as a result, explicit beat/miss vs consensus cannot be determined. We will supplement with estimate comparisons once S&P Global data access is restored.
- Until then, investors should focus on sequential trends (revenue up Q/Q; expenses up Q/Q) and the clinical/regulatory momentum that typically drives sentiment in development-stage biotech .
KPIs
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Clinical momentum is the primary stock driver: NX-5948’s improving ORR and durability in CLL/SLL and WM, plus brain penetration, underpin expectations for 2025 pivotal starts — a catalyst-rich setup .
- Balance sheet capacity reduces financing overhang near term; $609.6M supports multi-indication development and partnered programs through critical 2025 milestones .
- Near-term P&L will reflect elevated R&D and manufacturing costs as trials scale; expect continued operating losses until pivotal readouts and potential regulatory pathways mature .
- Regulatory tailwinds (FDA Fast Track, EMA PRIME) may accelerate NX-5948 development and review, improving the probability of timely registrational progress .
- Portfolio breadth matters: NX-2127 (aggressive lymphomas), NX-1607 (immuno-oncology), and partner programs (IRAK4 with Gilead; STAT6 with Sanofi) diversify optionality and milestone flow .
- Without consensus estimates today, trade the narrative: sequential revenue growth, strong clinical data flow, and 2025 pivotal initiation news cadence are likely to move the stock; monitor upcoming trial initiations, design specifics, and any additional regulatory updates .
- Watch for data updates in 2025 across CLL/NHL and autoimmune indications; additional efficacy/safety disclosures, especially durability and CNS outcomes, could further differentiate NX-5948 .